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2013 Sixth International Conference on Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering (BIFE) (2013)
Hangzhou,, China
Nov. 14, 2013 to Nov. 16, 2013
ISBN: 978-1-4799-4778-2
pp: 495-499
ABSTRACT
In order to analysis the factors affecting coal consumption ,The article uses path analysis to screened out the main factors affecting coal consumption and established coal consumption polynomial lag distribution model. And as a priori information, we established coal consumption Bayesian- PDLS dynamic effects distribution model. The results show that: Railway coal transportation volume, the urbanization rate and the proportion of secondary industry is the main driving factor in the growth of coal consumption, delay effects were 3 years, 2 years and 3 years. The railway coal transportation volume play an important role in coal consumption, and coal consumption for the three groups showed changes in the elasticity inverted "V" type, "N" type and the "W" shape.
INDEX TERMS
Coal, Rail transportation, Industries, Economics, Sociology, Statistics
CITATION

W. Zheng, M. Bai, Q. Zhu and J. Chai, "A Lagging Dynamic Analysis of Factors Affecting Coal Consumption," 2013 Sixth International Conference on Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering (BIFE), Hangzhou,, China, 2013, pp. 495-499.
doi:10.1109/BIFE.2013.148
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