Issue No. 03 - May/June (2006 vol. 23)
DOI Bookmark: http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/MS.2006.82
Todd Little , Landmark Graphics
One software product company found that its project duration estimation accuracy followed a lognormal distribution and the uncertainty range was nearly identical at all stages in the project life cycle. This conflicts with popular interpretation of the "cone of uncertainty" concept.
software estimation, project management, uncertainty, risk management, process metrics
T. Little, "Schedule Estimation and Uncertainty Surrounding the Cone of Uncertainty," in IEEE Software, vol. 23, no. , pp. 48-54, 2006.