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16th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE'05)
Markovian Modeling and Analysis of Internet Worm Propagation
Chicago, Illinois
November 08-November 11
ISBN: 0-7695-2482-6
Hiroyuki Okamura, Hiroshima University
Hisashi Kobayashi, Hiroshima University
Tadashi Dohi, Hiroshima University
Propagation of Internet worms is a serious problem in our highly information oriented society. In this paper, we propose a stochastic model for Internet worm propagation to evaluate its dependability measures quantitatively. More precisely, the deterministic kill-signal model is reformulated based on a continuous-time Markov chain. We define some dependability measures and derive the recursive computation algorithms to assess them. In numerical experiments, we investigate the behavior of actual Internet worms with real infection data and characterize their propagation.
Index Terms:
Internet worm propagation, epidemic SIS model, kill signal, Markov model, dependability measures, matrix geometric analysis
Citation:
Hiroyuki Okamura, Hisashi Kobayashi, Tadashi Dohi, "Markovian Modeling and Analysis of Internet Worm Propagation," issre, pp.149-158, 16th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE'05), 2005
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