loading...
 This Article 
   
 Share 
   
 Bibliographic References 
   
 Add to: 
 
Digg
Furl
Spurl
Blink
Simpy
Google
Del.icio.us
Y!MyWeb
 
 Search 
   
Fourth International Conference on Hybrid Intelligent Systems (HIS'04)
Artificial Neural Networks Applied to Long-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting
Kitakyushu, Japan
December 05-December 08
ISBN: 0-7695-2291-2
Mostafa Al Mamun, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology, Japan
Ken Nagasaka, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology, Japan
The electric power demand in Japan has steadily increased and the load factor of total power system has de-creased. It is therefore very important to the utilities to have advance knowledge of their electrical load. One of the important points for forecasting the long-term load in Japan is to take into account the past and present economic situations and power demand. These points were considered in this study. The proposed Artificial Neural Network (ANN) that is Radial Basis Function Network (RBFN) has also showed that the changes in loads are a reflection of economy. Here, prediction of peak loads in Japan up to year 2015 is discussed using the RBFN and the maxi-mum demands for 2001 through 2015are predicted to be elevated from 179.42GW to 209.18GW. The annual average rate of load growth seen per ten years until 2015 is about 1.39%.
Index Terms:
Economic Factors, Electric Load Demand, Long-term Load Fore-casting, Radial Basis Function Networks
Citation:
Mostafa Al Mamun, Ken Nagasaka, "Artificial Neural Networks Applied to Long-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting," his, pp.204-209, Fourth International Conference on Hybrid Intelligent Systems (HIS'04), 2004
Usage of this product signifies your acceptance of the Terms of Use.