loading...
 This Article 
   
 Share 
   
 Bibliographic References 
   
 Add to: 
 
Digg
Furl
Spurl
Blink
Simpy
Google
Del.icio.us
Y!MyWeb
 
 Search 
   
2007 Seventh IEEE International Conference on Data Mining
Can the Content of Public News Be Used to Forecast Abnormal Stock Market Behaviour?
Omaha, Nebraska, USA
October 28-October 31
ISBN: 0-7695-3018-4
A popular theory of markets is that they are efficient: all available information is deemed to provide an accurate valuation of an asset at any time. In this paper, we consider how the content of marketrelated news articles contributes to such information. Specifically, we mine news articles for terms of interest, and quantify this degree of interest. We then incorporate this measure into traditional models for market index volatility with a view to forecasting whether the incidence of interesting news is correlated with a shock in the index, and thus if the information can be captured to value the underlying asset. We illustrate the methodology on stock market indices for the USA, the UK, and Australia.
Citation:
Calum Robertson, Shlomo Geva, Rodney C. Wolff, "Can the Content of Public News Be Used to Forecast Abnormal Stock Market Behaviour?," icdm, pp.637-642, 2007 Seventh IEEE International Conference on Data Mining, 2007
Usage of this product signifies your acceptance of the Terms of Use.