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International Conference on Autonomic and Autonomous Systems (ICAS'06)
Predicting Resource Demand in Dynamic Utility Computing Environments
Silicon Valley, California, USA
July 19-July 21
ISBN: 0-7695-2653-5
Artur Andrzejak, Zuse-Institute Berlin, Germany
Sven Graupner, Hewlett-Packard Laboratories, Palo Alto, CA, USA
Stefan Plantikow, Zuse-Institute Berlin, Germany
We target the problem of predicting resource usage in situations where the modeling data is scarce, non-stationary, or expensive to obtain. This scenario occurs frequently in computing systems and networks, mostly due to the high dynamicity of the underlying processes. Utility computing environments are an important example for such a scenario, as their frequent reconfiguration reduces the amount of training data available for modeling. We propose an approach based on a genetic algorithm and fuzzy logic which allows for creation of robust prediction models even with scarce training data. The method is evaluated on demand usage traces collected from 41 servers in a business data center. The results show in the setting of scarce training data amount our method has a significantly higher prediction accuracy compared to other non-linear techniques such as decision trees or support vector machines.
Index Terms:
demand prediction, system identification (modeling) techniques, genetic fuzzy controller, utility computing, automated resource allocation.
Citation:
Artur Andrzejak, Sven Graupner, Stefan Plantikow, "Predicting Resource Demand in Dynamic Utility Computing Environments," icas, pp.6, International Conference on Autonomic and Autonomous Systems (ICAS'06), 2006
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