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26th Annual International Computer Software and Applications Conference
An Investigation of Prediction Models for Project Management
Oxford, England
August 26-August 29
ISBN: 0-7695-1727-7
Daniel Rodríguez, University of Reading
Rachel Harrison, University of Reading
Manoranjan Satpathy, University of Reading
Javier Dolado, University of the Basque Country
It has been claimed that dynamic prediction models can be used to help project managers make more accurate estimates than static prediction models. However, such a claim needs to be validated so that project managers can use dynamic models with confidence. In this paper, we discuss an experiment we conducted in an academic environment that compared a dynamic model using BBNs with a static model involving the COCOMO and Akiyama models. The results from this experiment in fact validate the above claim. However, we suggest replication of this experiment in order to increase confidence to our results.
Index Terms:
Experimentation, Bayesian Networks, Estimates
Citation:
Daniel Rodríguez, Rachel Harrison, Manoranjan Satpathy, Javier Dolado, "An Investigation of Prediction Models for Project Management," compsac, pp.779, 26th Annual International Computer Software and Applications Conference, 2002
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