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39th Annual Simulation Symposium (ANSS'06)
A New Approach for Computing Conditional Probabilities of General Stochastic Processes
Huntsville, Alabama
April 02-April 06
ISBN: 0-7695-2559-8
Fabian Wickborn, Otto-von-Guericke Universität Magdeburg, Germany
Claudia Isensee, Otto-von-Guericke Universität Magdeburg, Germany
Thomas Simon, Otto-von-Guericke Universität Magdeburg, Germany
Sanja Lazarova-Molnar, Otto-von-Guericke Universität Magdeburg, Germany
Graham Horton, Otto-von-Guericke Universität Magdeburg. Germany
In this paper Hidden Markov Model algorithms are considered as a method for computing conditional properties of continuous-time stochastic simulation models. The goal is to develop an algorithm that adapts known Hidden Markov Model algorithms for use with proxel-based simulation. It is shown how the Forward- and Viterbi-algorithms can be directly integrated in the proxel-method. The possibility of integrating the more complex Baum-Welch-algorithm is theoretically addressed. Experiments are conducted to determine the practicability of the new approach and to illustrate the type of analysis that is possible.
Citation:
Fabian Wickborn, Claudia Isensee, Thomas Simon, Sanja Lazarova-Molnar, Graham Horton, "A New Approach for Computing Conditional Probabilities of General Stochastic Processes," anss, pp.152-159, 39th Annual Simulation Symposium (ANSS'06), 2006
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