loading...
 This Article 
   
 Share 
   
 Bibliographic References 
   
 Add to: 
 
Digg
Furl
Spurl
Blink
Simpy
Google
Del.icio.us
Y!MyWeb
 
 Search 
   
IEEE-INNS-ENNS International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN'00)-Volume 5
Nonstationarity and Data Preprocessing for Neural Network Predictions of an Economic Time Series
Como, Italy
July 24-July 27
ISBN: 0-7695-0619-4
Francesco Virili, University of Siegen
Bernd Freisleben, University of Siegen
The presence of stochastic or deterministic trends in economic time series can be a major obstacle for producing satisfactory predictions with neural networks. In this paper, we demonstrate the effects of nonstationarity on neural network predictions using the time series of the mortgage loans purchased in the Netherlands. We present different preprocessing techniques for removing nonstationarity, and evaluate their properties by producing multi-step predictions using a linear stochastic forecasting model and a neural network. The results indicate that detecting nonstationarity and selecting an appropriate preprocessing technique is highly beneficial for improving the prediction quality.
Citation:
Francesco Virili, Bernd Freisleben, "Nonstationarity and Data Preprocessing for Neural Network Predictions of an Economic Time Series," ijcnn, vol. 5, pp.5129, IEEE-INNS-ENNS International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN'00)-Volume 5, 2000
Usage of this product signifies your acceptance of the Terms of Use.