loading...
 This Article 
   
 Share 
   
 Bibliographic References 
   
 Add to: 
 
Digg
Furl
Spurl
Blink
Simpy
Google
Del.icio.us
Y!MyWeb
 
 Search 
   
30th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS) Volume 5: Advanced Technology Track
Maui, Hawaii
January 03-January 06
ISBN: 0-8186-7743-0
Zuohong Pan, Western Connecticut State Univ.
Xiaodi Liu, Wayne State University
Olugbenga Mejabi, Wayne State University
This study introduces a Neural-Fuzzy system for financial modeling and forecasting. The new system combines the neural network with fuzzy logic, in which fuzzy rules replace the traditional crisp logic in the reasoning. The system is used to exploit financial market inefficiencies and extract nonlinear patterns. When used in forecasting S&P 500 index, the model's performance is compared with a random walk model, an ARIMA model and other more sophisticated econometric models, (e.g. ARCH mode) The power andpredictive ability of the models are evaluated on the basis of mean absolute error, root mean squared error, turning point prediction, pattern recognition, and the conditional efficiency in the sense of [3] and [2]. The study showed a promising result for the Neural-Fuzzy system .
Citation:
Zuohong Pan, Xiaodi Liu, Olugbenga Mejabi, "A Neural-Fuzzy System for Forecasting," hicss, vol. 5, pp.549, 30th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS) Volume 5: Advanced Technology Track, 1997
Usage of this product signifies your acceptance of the Terms of Use.