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Software Engineering Technology Watch
July/August 2002 (vol. 19 no. 4)
pp. 123-129

Predicting the evolution of software engineering technology is, at best, a dubious proposition. Typically, it is a frustrating and disappointing exercise. It is not difficult to see why: Software technology evolves at a fast pace and is determined by a dizzying array of factors, many of them outside the arena of software engineering. Most of them cannot be identified, let alone predicted, with any significant advance notice. This article briefly discusses the authors' first ventures in this domain and some preliminary conclusions and suggestions.

Index Terms:
Software Engineering, Software Trends, Technology Transfer, Watching Trends, Predicting Trends, Adapting to Trends, Affecting Trends.
Robert David Cowan, Ali Mili, Hany Ammar, Alan McKendall, Jr., Lin Yang, Dapeng Chen, Terry Spencer, "Software Engineering Technology Watch," IEEE Software, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 123-129, July-Aug. 2002, doi:10.1109/MS.2002.1020299
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