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No Crystal Ball in the Software Industry
July/August 1993 (vol. 10 no. 4)
pp. 91-94, 97

The results of a 1989 survey conducted to assess the software-engineering capabilities of 13 prospective corporate members are discussed in a historical perspective. It is suggested that a look back at these predictions is clear evidence that the software industry grossly underestimated the effect of new hardware technology and grossly overestimated the affect of new software technology. Some advice on planning for the future of a software organization is offered.

Index Terms:
future planning; software industry; survey; software-engineering; corporate members; historical perspective; new hardware technology; new software technology; software organization; DP industry; software engineering; technological forecasting
Citation:
"No Crystal Ball in the Software Industry," IEEE Software, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 91-94, 97, July-Aug. 1993, doi:10.1109/MS.1993.10035
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