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Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning through Crowdsourcing
Dec. 2012 (vol. 18 no. 12)
pp. 2536-2545
| ASCII Text | x | ||
| Luana Micallef, Pierre Dragicevic, Jean-Daniel Fekete, "Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning through Crowdsourcing," IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, vol. 18, no. 12, pp. 2536-2545, Dec., 2012. | |||
| BibTex | x | ||
| @article{ 10.1109/TVCG.2012.199, author = {Luana Micallef and Pierre Dragicevic and Jean-Daniel Fekete}, title = {Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning through Crowdsourcing}, journal ={IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics}, volume = {18}, number = {12}, issn = {1077-2626}, year = {2012}, pages = {2536-2545}, doi = {http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/TVCG.2012.199}, publisher = {IEEE Computer Society}, address = {Los Alamitos, CA, USA}, } | |||
| RefWorks Procite/RefMan/Endnote | x | ||
| TY - JOUR JO - IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics TI - Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning through Crowdsourcing IS - 12 SN - 1077-2626 SP2536 EP2545 EPD - 2536-2545 A1 - Luana Micallef, A1 - Pierre Dragicevic, A1 - Jean-Daniel Fekete, PY - 2012 KW - Visualization KW - Bayesian methods KW - Sociology KW - Statistical analysis KW - Crowdsourcing KW - Breast cancer KW - crowdsourcing KW - Bayesian reasoning KW - base rate fallacy KW - probabilistic judgment KW - Euler diagrams KW - glyphs VL - 18 JA - IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics ER - | |||
DOI Bookmark: http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/TVCG.2012.199
People have difficulty understanding statistical information and are unaware of their wrong judgments, particularly in Bayesian reasoning. Psychology studies suggest that the way Bayesian problems are represented can impact comprehension, but few visual designs have been evaluated and only populations with a specific background have been involved. In this study, a textual and six visual representations for three classic problems were compared using a diverse subject pool through crowdsourcing. Visualizations included area-proportional Euler diagrams, glyph representations, and hybrid diagrams combining both. Our study failed to replicate previous findings in that subjects’ accuracy was remarkably lower and visualizations exhibited no measurable benefit. A second experiment confirmed that simply adding a visualization to a textual Bayesian problem is of little help, even when the text refers to the visualization, but suggests that visualizations are more effective when the text is given without numerical values. We discuss our findings and the need for more such experiments to be carried out on heterogeneous populations of non-experts.
Index Terms:
Visualization,Bayesian methods,Sociology,Statistical analysis,Crowdsourcing,Breast cancer,crowdsourcing,Bayesian reasoning,base rate fallacy,probabilistic judgment,Euler diagrams,glyphs
Citation:
Luana Micallef, Pierre Dragicevic, Jean-Daniel Fekete, "Assessing the Effect of Visualizations on Bayesian Reasoning through Crowdsourcing," IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, vol. 18, no. 12, pp. 2536-2545, Dec. 2012, doi:10.1109/TVCG.2012.199
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