|
| This Article | ||
| ||
| Share | ||
| Bibliographic References | ||
| Add to: | ||
| | ||
| Search | ||
| ||
2012 UKSim 14th International Conference on Computer Modelling and Simulation
Simulation of Correlated Financial Defaults through Smoothed Cross-Entropy
Cambridge, Cambridgeshire United Kingdom
March 28-March 30
ISBN: 978-0-7695-4682-7
| ASCII Text | x | ||
| Giuseppe D'Acquisto, Loretta Mastroeni, Maurizio Naldi, "Simulation of Correlated Financial Defaults through Smoothed Cross-Entropy," Computer Modeling and Simulation, International Conference on, pp. 129-134, 2012 UKSim 14th International Conference on Computer Modelling and Simulation, 2012. | |||
| BibTex | x | ||
| @article{ 10.1109/UKSim.2012.27, author = {Giuseppe D'Acquisto and Loretta Mastroeni and Maurizio Naldi}, title = {Simulation of Correlated Financial Defaults through Smoothed Cross-Entropy}, journal ={Computer Modeling and Simulation, International Conference on}, volume = {0}, year = {2012}, isbn = {978-0-7695-4682-7}, pages = {129-134}, doi = {http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/UKSim.2012.27}, publisher = {IEEE Computer Society}, address = {Los Alamitos, CA, USA}, } | |||
| RefWorks Procite/RefMan/Endnote | x | ||
| TY - CONF JO - Computer Modeling and Simulation, International Conference on TI - Simulation of Correlated Financial Defaults through Smoothed Cross-Entropy SN - 978-0-7695-4682-7 SP129 EP134 A1 - Giuseppe D'Acquisto, A1 - Loretta Mastroeni, A1 - Maurizio Naldi, PY - 2012 KW - Cross-Entropy KW - Copula models KW - Financial risk VL - 0 JA - Computer Modeling and Simulation, International Conference on ER - | |||
DOI Bookmark: http://doi.ieeecomputersociety.org/10.1109/UKSim.2012.27
Credit risk, deriving from borrowers defaulting on their debts, represents an ever growing source of concern for financial operators. An established model to describe the associated risk scenario, where correlation among defaults is present, is the t-copula, whose use allows us to evaluate the probability of losses exceeding a given threshold. However, the typically large number of variables involved calls for a simulation approach. A simulation method, based on the use of the Cross-Entropy (CE) technique, is here proposed as an alternative to non-adaptive Importance Sampling (IS) techniques so far presented in the literature, the main advantage of CE being that it allows to deal easily with a wider range of probability models than ad hoc IS. A full description of the method is provided along with the results obtained for an extended set of model instances. The proposed Cross-Entropy technique is shown to provide accurate results even when the sample size is several orders of magnitude smaller than the inverse of the probability to be estimated.
Index Terms:
Cross-Entropy, Copula models, Financial risk
Citation:
Giuseppe D'Acquisto, Loretta Mastroeni, Maurizio Naldi, "Simulation of Correlated Financial Defaults through Smoothed Cross-Entropy," uksim, pp.129-134, 2012 UKSim 14th International Conference on Computer Modelling and Simulation, 2012
Usage of this product signifies your acceptance of the Terms of Use.
