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2010 International Conference on Intelligent Networking and Collaborative Systems
Enhancing Robustness in Multi-criteria Decision-Making: A Scenario-Based Approach
Thessalonika, Greece
November 24-November 26
ISBN: 978-0-7695-4278-2
This paper presents a distributed system facilitating robust decision-making under uncertainty in complex situations often found in strategic emergency management. The construction of decision-relevant scenarios, each being a consistent, coherent and plausible description of a situation and its future development, is used as a rationale for collecting, organizing, filtering and processing information for decision-making. The construction of scenarios is targeted at assessing decision alternatives avoiding time-consuming processing of irrelevant information. The scenarios are constructed in a distributed setting ensuring that each decision can be founded on a coherent and consistent set of assessments and assumptions provided by the best (human or artificial) experts available within limited time. Our theoretical framework is illustrated by means of an emergency management example.
Index Terms:
Distributed Decision Support, Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA), Scenarios, Uncertainty, Robustness
Citation:
Tina Comes, Michael Hiete, Niek Wijngaards, Frank Schultmann, "Enhancing Robustness in Multi-criteria Decision-Making: A Scenario-Based Approach," incos, pp.484-489, 2010 International Conference on Intelligent Networking and Collaborative Systems, 2010
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