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2012 IEEE 12th International Conference on Data Mining Workshops
Towards Utility Maximization in Regression
Brussels, Belgium Belgium
December 10-December 10
ISBN: 978-1-4673-5164-5
Utility-based learning is a key technique for addressing many real world data mining applications, where the costs/benefits are not uniform across the domain of the target variable. Still, most of the existing research has been focused on classification problems. In this paper we address a related problem. There are many relevant domains (e.g. ecological, meteorological, finance) where decisions are based on the forecast of a numeric quantity (i.e. the result of a regression model). The goal of the work on this paper is to present an evaluation framework for applications where the numeric outcome of a regression model may lead to different costs/benefits as a consequence of the actions it entails. The new metric provides a more informed estimate of the utility of any regression model, given the application-specific preference biases, and hence makes more reliable the comparison and selection between alternative regression models. We illustrate the objective of our evaluation methodology on a real-life application and also carry a set of experiments over a subset of our target regression tasks: the prediction of rare and extreme values. Results show the effectiveness of our proposed utility metric for identifying the models that perform better on this type of applications.
Index Terms:
Standards,Biological system modeling,Context,Accuracy,Predictive models,Equations,Mathematical model,utility-based performance estimate,Cost-sensitive learning,regression
Rita P. Ribeiro, "Towards Utility Maximization in Regression," icdmw, pp.179-186, 2012 IEEE 12th International Conference on Data Mining Workshops, 2012
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